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Representation of Extratropical Cyclones, Blocking Anticyclones, and Alpine Circulation Types in Multiple Reanalyses and Model Simulations

Authors :
Olivia Martius
Stefan Brönnimann
Marco Rohrer
Martin Wild
Christoph C. Raible
Gilbert P. Compo
Source :
Rohrer, Marco; Brönnimann, Stefan; Martius, Olivia; Raible, Christoph; Wild, Martin; Compo, Gilbert P. (2018). Representation of Extratropical Cyclones, Blocking Anticyclones, and Alpine Circulation Types in Multiple Reanalyses and Model Simulations. Journal of Climate, 31(8), pp. 3009-3031. American Meteorological Society 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0350.1
Publication Year :
2018
Publisher :
American Meteorological Society, 2018.

Abstract

Atmospheric circulation types, blockings, and cyclones are central features of the extratropical flow and key to understanding the climate system. This study intercompares the representation of these features in 10 reanalyses and in an ensemble of 30 climate model simulations between 1980 and 2005. Both modern, full-input reanalyses and century-long, surface-input reanalyses are examined. Modern full-input reanalyses agree well on key statistics of blockings, cyclones, and circulation types. However, the intensity and depth of cyclones vary among them. Reanalyses with higher horizontal resolution show higher cyclone center densities and more intense cyclones. For blockings, no strict relationship is found between frequency or intensity and horizontal resolution. Full-input reanalyses contain more intense blocking, compared to surface-input reanalyses. Circulation-type classifications over central Europe show that both versions of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis dataset contain more easterlies and fewer westerlies than any other reanalysis, owing to their high pressure bias over northeast Europe. The temporal correlation of annual circulation types over central Europe and blocking frequencies over the North Atlantic–European domain between reanalyses is high (around 0.8). The ensemble simulations capture the main characteristics of midlatitudinal atmospheric circulation. Circulation types of westerlies to northerlies over central Europe are overrepresented. There are too few blockings in the higher latitudes and an excess of cyclones in the midlatitudes. Other characteristics, such as blocking amplitude and cyclone intensity, are realistically represented, making the ensemble simulations a rich dataset to assess changes in climate variability.

Details

ISSN :
15200442 and 08948755
Volume :
31
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Journal of Climate
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....200fd11647c1ae38f0f7465fd768daa8