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Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative

Authors :
Andrew P. Dobson
Roger A. Pielke
Kenneth A. Rose
Catherine M. Pringle
William A. Pizer
Diana H. Wall
James S. Clark
Jonathan A. Foley
Mary Barber
David M. Lodge
Osvaldo E. Sala
Steven R. Carpenter
William H. Schlesinger
W. V. Reid
Mercedes Pascual
Scott L. Collins
David N. Wear
Source :
Science (New York, N.Y.). 293(5530)
Publication Year :
2001

Abstract

Planning and decision-making can be improved by access to reliable forecasts of ecosystem state, ecosystem services, and natural capital. Availability of new data sets, together with progress in computation and statistics, will increase our ability to forecast ecosystem change. An agenda that would lead toward a capacity to produce, evaluate, and communicate forecasts of critical ecosystem services requires a process that engages scientists and decision-makers. Interdisciplinary linkages are necessary because of the climate and societal controls on ecosystems, the feedbacks involving social change, and the decision-making relevance of forecasts.

Details

ISSN :
00368075
Volume :
293
Issue :
5530
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Science (New York, N.Y.)
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....1ff5a21ace29a913709a5cd1e28e6332