Machine learning for detecting moyamoya disease in plain skull radiography using a convolutional neural network

Background Recently, innovative attempts have been made to identify moyamoya disease (MMD) by focusing on the morphological differences in the head of MMD patients. Following the recent revolution in the development of deep learning (DL) algorithms, we designed this study to determine whether DL can distinguish MMD in plain skull radiograph images. Methods Three hundred forty-five skull images were collected as an MMD-labeled dataset from patients aged 18 to 50 years with definite MMD. As a control-labeled data set, 408 skull images of trauma patients were selected by age and sex matching. Skull images were partitioned into training and test datasets at a 7:3 ratio using permutation. A total of six convolution layers were designed and trained. The accuracy and area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve were evaluated as classifier performance. To identify areas of attention, gradient-weighted class activation mapping was applied. External validation was performed with a new dataset from another hospital. Findings For the institutional test set, the classifier predicted the true label with 84·1% accuracy. Sensitivity and specificity were both 0·84. AUROC was 0·91. MMD was predicted by attention to the lower face in most cases. Overall accuracy for external validation data set was 75·9%. Interpretation DL can distinguish MMD cases within specific ages from controls in plain skull radiograph images with considerable accuracy and AUROC. The viscerocranium may play a role in MMD-related skull features. Fund This work was supported by grant no. 18-2018-029 from the Seoul National University Bundang Hospital Research Fund.