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'In the Short Run Blasé, In the Long Run Risqué'

Authors :
Gabriel Jiménez
Jesús Saurina
Steven Ongena
José-Luis Peydró
Source :
Schmalenbach Business Review. 18:181-226
Publication Year :
2017
Publisher :
Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2017.

Abstract

We identify the impact of short-term interest rates on credit risk-taking in the short and long run by analyzing a comprehensive credit register from Spain, a country where for the last twenty years monetary policy was mostly decided abroad. Duration analyses show that lower overnight rates prior to loan origination lead banks to lend more to borrowers with a worse credit history and to grant more loans with a higher per-period probability of default. Lower overnight rates during the life of the loan reduce this probability. Bank, borrower and market characteristics determine the impact of overnight rates on credit risk-taking.

Details

ISSN :
2194072X and 14392917
Volume :
18
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Schmalenbach Business Review
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....1087b1a3700910e4a3f4d865569b64a0
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1007/s41464-017-0038-7