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Short-Term Temporal Clustering of Police-Reported Violent Offending and Victimization
- Source :
- Criminal Justice Review. 43:309-324
- Publication Year :
- 2018
- Publisher :
- SAGE Publications, 2018.
-
Abstract
- Objectives: To examine short-term associations between offending and victimization using daily data on criminal offenses. We also examine the within-individual association between several types of offenses and victimization and see whether incidents closer together in time are more likely reflect revenge motives. Method: We use total data on all victims ( n = 88,106) and offenders ( n = 60,584) in police-reported assaults in Finland during 2007–2009 to examine temporal clustering of the two outcomes. Monthly panel data ( n = 4,886) on offending and victimization are analyzed with fixed-effects regression models, while revenge motives are derived from detailed case descriptions ( n = 299). Results: The risk of violent victimization is higher in months following criminal offending. Although the offending rates directly before and after victimization are low on absolute terms, we find that these rates are higher around the time of victimization. Violent offenses closer to victimization incidents are more likely to include the same parties in opposite roles. Conclusions: Criminal offending increases the risk of victimization in a state-dependent matter. Closer analysis of situational and motivational dynamics of victimization and offending requires temporally detailed data, as a substantial share of the victim–offender overlap is explained by incidents that take place on the same day, complicating the analysis of the temporal sequence of those events.
- Subjects :
- 05 social sciences
Poison control
Human factors and ergonomics
16. Peace & justice
Suicide prevention
Occupational safety and health
Term (temporal)
Injury prevention
050501 criminology
0501 psychology and cognitive sciences
ta513
Psychology
Cluster analysis
Association (psychology)
Law
050104 developmental & child psychology
0505 law
Clinical psychology
Subjects
Details
- ISSN :
- 15563839 and 07340168
- Volume :
- 43
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Criminal Justice Review
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....0fe9e78e28bd1c0a3e9cd9c5d79545eb