Back to Search
Start Over
Modified susceptible–exposed–infectious–recovered model for assessing the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic in Seoul
- Source :
- Journal of Theoretical Biology. 557:111329
- Publication Year :
- 2023
- Publisher :
- Elsevier BV, 2023.
-
Abstract
- Susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered (SEIR) models were applied to assess the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and to study the dynamic behavior of the COVID-19 pandemic. Recently, SEIR models have evolved to address the change of human mobility by some NPIs for predicting the new confirmed cases. However, the models have serious limitations when applied to Seoul. Seoul has two representative quarantine policies, i.e. social distancing and the ban on gatherings. Effects of the two policies need to be reflected in different functional forms in the model because changes in human mobility do not fully reflect the ban on gatherings. Thus we propose a modified SEIR model to assess the effectiveness of social distancing, ban on gatherings and vaccination strategies. The application of the modified SEIR model was illustrated by comparing the model output with real data.
- Subjects :
- Statistics and Probability
General Immunology and Microbiology
Seoul
Applied Mathematics
Physical Distancing
COVID-19
General Medicine
Communicable Diseases
General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
Modeling and Simulation
Quarantine
Humans
Disease Susceptibility
General Agricultural and Biological Sciences
Pandemics
Subjects
Details
- ISSN :
- 00225193
- Volume :
- 557
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Journal of Theoretical Biology
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....0f1cd84588f6e014c065a6ac6030a4b9
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2022.111329