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Financial Disruptions and the Cyclical Upgrading of Labor
- Source :
- SSRN Electronic Journal.
- Publication Year :
- 2017
- Publisher :
- Elsevier BV, 2017.
-
Abstract
- Amid total factor productivity (TFP) shocks job-to-job flows amplify the volatility of unemployment, but the aggregate implications of job-to-job flows amid financial shocks are less understood. To develop such understanding we model a general equilibrium labor-search framework that incorporates on-the-job (OTJ) search and distinctly accounts for the differential impact of TFP and financial shocks. Surprisingly, we find that the interaction of OTJ search with financial shocks is sufficiently different from its interaction with TFP shocks so that, under standard calibrations, our model generates aggregate dynamics exceedingly in line with the behavior of key U.S. macro data across several decades and in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) as well. Importantly, as in the data, the model yields relatively high volatilities of consumption, labor income, and unemployment. As such, our work contributes to resolving two limitations of current general equilibrium labor-search theory: under standard calibrations and amid TFP shocks, only, models without OTJ search generate implausibly low unemployment volatility, while models with OTJ search generate unemployment volatility closer to the data but at the expense of implausibly low consumption and labor-income volatility.
- Subjects :
- Finance
Economics and Econometrics
Discounting
General equilibrium theory
business.industry
media_common.quotation_subject
Economic sector
05 social sciences
Labor income
0502 economics and business
Financial crisis
Unemployment
Business cycle
Economics
General Earth and Planetary Sciences
Macro
050207 economics
Volatility (finance)
business
Total factor productivity
050205 econometrics
General Environmental Science
media_common
Subjects
Details
- ISSN :
- 15565068
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- SSRN Electronic Journal
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....0d36821a71109ab119135d703b88708d