Factors associated with successful discontinuation of certolizumab pegol in early rheumatoid arthritis

Aim The Certolizumab–Optimal Prevention of joint damage for Early Rheumatoid Arthritis (C‐OPERA) study demonstrated that in methotrexate (MTX)‐naïve early RA patients with poor prognostic factors, 1‐year certolizumab pegol (CZP) therapy added to the first year of 2‐year optimized MTX therapy brings radiographic and clinical benefits through 2 years even after stopping CZP. This exploratory analysis aimed to identify factors at baseline and at CZP discontinuation associated with successful CZP discontinuation. Methods MTX‐naïve early RA patients with poor prognostic factors entered C‐OPERA (NCT01451203), a multicenter, randomized controlled trial. Patients were randomized to CZP + MTX (n = 159) or PBO + MTX (n = 157); those who completed the 1‐year, double‐blind period received MTX alone in Year 2 (CZP + MTX→MTX, n = 108; PBO + MTX→MTX, n = 71). Association between factors at baseline or at discontinuation of CZP and clinical/radiographic outcomes were evaluated by multiple logistic regression analysis. Predictive value cut‐offs were calculated using receiver operating characteristic analysis. Results Sex (male) and low baseline Disease Activity Score of 28 joints – erythrocyte sedimentation rate (DAS28‐ESR) were associated with simple disease activity index (SDAI) remission (≤3.3), whereas high baseline DAS28‐ESR and modified total Sharp score (mTSS) were associated with clinically relevant radiographic progression (yearly progression mTSS > 3) at Week 104 (across both treatment arms). Low DAS28‐ESR (