Hepatocellular carcinoma pathologic grade prediction using radiomics and machine learning models of gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI: a two-center study

To develop a radiomics-based hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) grade classifier model based on data from gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI.This retrospective study included 137 patients who underwent hepatectomy for a single HCC and gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI within 60 days before surgery. HCC grade was categorized as low or high (modified Edmondson-Steiner grade I-II vs. III-IV). We used the hepatobiliary phase (HBP), portal venous phase, T2-weighted image(T2WI), and T1-weighted image(T1WI). From the volume of interest in HCC, 833 radiomic features were extracted. Radiomic and clinical features were selected using a random forest regressor, and the classification model was trained and validated using a random forest classifier and tenfold stratified cross-validation. Eight models were developed using the radiomic features alone or by combining the radiomic and clinical features. Models were validated with internal enrolled data (internal validation) and a dataset (28 patients) at a separate institution (external validation). The area under the curve (AUC) of the validation results was compared using the DeLong test.In internal and external validation, the HBP radiomics-only model showed the highest AUC (internal 0.80 ± 0.09, external 0.70 ± 0.09). In external validation, all models showed lower AUC than those for internal validation, while the T2WI and T1WI models failed to predict the HCC grade (AUC 0.30-0.58) in contrast to the internal validation results (AUC 0.67-0.78).The radiomics-based machine learning model from gadoxetic acid-enhanced liver MRI could distinguish between low- and high-grade HCCs. The radiomics-only HBP model showed the best AUC among the eight models, good performance in internal validation, and fair performance in external validation.