Back to Search
Start Over
Can we have growth when population is stagnant? Testing linear growth rate formulas of non-scale endogenous growth models
- Source :
- Applied Economics, 52(13), 1502-1516. Routledge/Taylor & Francis Group
- Publication Year :
- 2020
-
Abstract
- We sub-divide scale-invariant fully or semi-endogenous growth models into six sub-categories for formulas relating steady-state growth rates of income per capita and the growth rate of the population depending on the properties of slopes and intercepts. We capture their steady-state relation by a long-term relation in panel vector-error-correction models for 16 countries and estimate the 16 models simultaneously allowing successively for more heterogeneity. Under slope homogeneity, the slope and intercepts of the growth equations are positive in this setting. However, allowing for heterogeneity there are two main groups of countries: those with non-positive slopes and positive intercepts are a large majority supporting fully endogenous growth; those with positive slopes and zero intercepts are a smaller group supporting semi-endogenous growth. Results therefore favour fully over semi-endogenous growth with and without slope homogeneity and allow for growth rate policies. The more frequent case is that long-run growth can remain positive if population stops growing. Analysis of cross-unit cointegration suggests that long-run results are internationally connected.
- Subjects :
- COUNTRIES
Economics and Econometrics
Scale (ratio)
Population
o47 - "Measurement of Economic Growth
Aggregate Productivity
Cross-Country Output Convergence"
Measurement of Economic Growth
Cross-Country Output Convergence
0502 economics and business
Econometrics
Economics
Population growth
c33 - "Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data
Longitudinal Data
Spatial Time Series"
Growth rate
050207 economics
panel-time-series estimation
education
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data
Spatial Time Series
education.field_of_study
050208 finance
Endogenous growth theory
ECONOMIC-GROWTH
TECHNICAL PROGRESS
PRODUCTIVITY
RESEARCH-AND-DEVELOPMENT
05 social sciences
COMPONENTS
SUBSTITUTION
Per capita income
Endogenous growth
LONG
population growth
Linear growth
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 00036846
- Volume :
- 52
- Issue :
- 13
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Applied Economics
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....03eecf0d089c40520597d4d486c8cf80