Estimating Grassland Curing with Remotely Sensed Data

Wildfire can become a catastrophic natural hazard, especially during dry summer seasons in Australia. Severity is influenced by various meteorological, geographical, and fuel characteristics. Modified Mark 4 McArthur's Grassland Fire 10 Danger Index (GFDI) is a commonly used approach to determine the fire danger level in grassland ecosystems. The degree of curing (DOC, i.e. proportion of dead material) of the grass is one key ingredient in determining the fire danger. It is difficult to collect accurate DOC information in the field, therefore, ground observed measurements are rather limited. In this study, we used satellite observed vegetation greenness (Normalised Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI) and vegetation water content (Vegetation Optical Depth, VOD) information to improve the accuracy of the DOC estimation. First, a statistically 15 significant relationship is established between selected ground observed DOC and satellite observed vegetation datasets (NDVI and VOD) with an r2 of 0.67. DOC levels estimated using satellite observations were then evaluated using field measurements with an r2 of 0.55. Results suggest that satellite based DOC estimation can reasonably reproduce ground based observations in space and time. Comparison with currently available satellite based DOC products shows that our model has a comparable and arguably more balanced performance.