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A quantile regression forecasting model for ICT development
- Source :
- Management Decision. 52:1263-1272
- Publication Year :
- 2014
- Publisher :
- Emerald, 2014.
-
Abstract
- Purpose – Because quantile regression gets more popular and provides more comprehensive interpretations, it is important to advance quantile regression for forecasting. By extending the convention quantile regression, the purpose of this paper is to propose a quantile regression-forecasting model to forecast information and communication technology (ICT) development. Design/methodology/approach – This paper proposes an approach to forecasting based on quantile regression method. Findings – Via quantile information criterion, the proposed approach can identify whether the independent variables are predictable. For those which are predictable, the proposed approach can be used to forecast these variables. Practical implications – The proposed approach is used to forecast ICT development. It can also be used to forecast other problem domains. Originality/value – Based on the empirical results, the proposed approach advances the application of quantile regression model to forecast. The applicability of quantile regression model is greatly enhanced.
- Subjects :
- Variables
business.industry
Computer science
media_common.quotation_subject
Information technology
Management Science and Operations Research
General Business, Management and Accounting
Quantile regression
Information and Communications Technology
Econometrics
Probabilistic forecasting
business
Consensus forecast
Practical implications
Quantile
media_common
Subjects
Details
- ISSN :
- 00251747
- Volume :
- 52
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Management Decision
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi...........fb229ee22498212002ad0865bfd97bbf
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1108/md-11-2012-0793