The Value of the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc Score for Predicting the Prognosis in Lacunar Stroke with or without Atrial Fibrillation Patients

Background: The CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scoring systems have been proved efficacy to stratify stroke and thromboembolism risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Whether CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc score has predictive value for the prognosis in lacunar stroke (LS) patients remains unclear. Methods: A total of 763 consecutive patients with LS (mean age: 66 ± 12 years; 464 male) were enrolled in this study between January 2013 and December 2014. Patients were divided into LS without AF (LS; n = 679) and LS with AF (LS-AF; n = 84) groups. Measures of performance for the risk scores were evaluated at predicting mortality and restroke in LS-AF and LS without AF patients. All patients were evaluated with respect to clinical features and in-hospital clinical results. Results: During the mean follow-up period of 20 ± 5.8 months, 29 patients (3.8%) experienced all-cause death, 105 patients (13.8%) experienced recurrence of ischemic stroke. Multivariate analysis revealed that CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc score were independently associated with all-cause death (all P