Monte-Carlo for solving large linear systems of ordinary differential equations

Monte-Carlo approach towards solving Cauchy problem for large systems of linear differential equations is being proposed in this paper. Firstly, a quick overlook of previously obtained results from applying the approach towards Fredholm-type integral equations is being made. In the main part of the paper, a similar method is being applied towards a linear system of ODE. It is transformed into an equivalent system of Volterra-type integral equations, which relaxes certain limitations being present due to necessary conditions for convergence of majorant series. The following theorems are being stated. Theorem 1 provides necessary compliance conditions that need to be imposed upon initial and transition distributions of a required Markov chain, for which an equality between estimate’s expectation and a desirable vector product would hold. Theorem 2 formulates an equation that governs estimate’s variance, while theorem 3 states a form for Markov chain parameters that minimise the variance. Proofs are given, following the statements. A system of linear ODEs that describe a closed queue made up of ten virtual machines and seven virtual service hubs is then solved using the proposed approach. Solutions are being obtained both for a system with constant coefficients and time-variable coefficients, where breakdown intensity is dependent on t. Comparison is being made between Monte-Carlo and Rungge Kutta obtained solutions. The results can be found in corresponding tables.