Abstract 543: Harnessing synthetic lethality to predict clinical outcomes of cancer treatment

Significance: The identification of Synthetic Lethal interactions (SLi) has long been considered a foundation for the advancement of cancer treatment. The rapidly accumulating large-scale patient data now provides a golden opportunity to infer SLi directly from patient samples. Here we present a new data-driven approach termed ISLE for identifying SLi, which is then shown to be predictive of clinical outcomes of cancer treatment in an unsupervised manner, for the first time. Methods: ISLE consists of four inference steps, analyzing tumor, cell line and gene evolutionary data: It first identifies putative SL gene pairs whose co-inactivation is underrepresented in tumors, testifying that they are selected against. Second, it further prioritizes candidate SL pairs whose co-inactivation is associated with better prognosis in patients, testifying that they may hamper tumor progression. Finally, it eliminates false positive SLi using gene essentiality screens (testifying to causal SLi relations) and prioritizing SLi paired genes with similar evolutionary phylogenetic profiles. Results: We applied ISLE to analyze the TCGA tumor collection and generated the first clinically-derived pan-cancer SL-network, composed of SLi common across many cancer types. We validated that these SLi match the known, experimentally identified SLi (AUC=0.87), and show that the SL-network is predictive of patient survival in an independent breast cancer dataset (METABRIC). Based on the predicted SLi, we predicted drug response of single agents and drug combinations in a wide variety of in vitro, mouse xenograft and patient data, altogether encompassing >700 single drugs and >5,000 drug combinations in >1,000 cell lines, 375 xenograft models and >5,000 patient samples. Of note, these predictions were performed in an unsupervised manner, reducing the known risk of over-fitting the data commonly associated with supervised prediction methods. Our prediction is based on the notion that a drug is likely to be more effective in tumors where many of its targets’ SL-partners are inactive, and drug synergism may be mediated by underlying SLi between their targets. Most importantly, we demonstrate for the first time that an SL-network can successfully predict the treatment outcome in cancer patients in multiple large-scale patient datasets including the TCGA, where SLis successfully predict patients’ response for 75% of cancer drugs. Conclusions: ISLE is predictive of the patients’ response for the majority of current cancer drugs. Of paramount importance, the predictions of ISLE are based on SLi between (potentially) all genes in the cancer genome, thus prioritizing treatments for patients whose tumors do not bear specific actionable mutations in cancer driver genes, offering a novel approach to precision-based cancer therapy. The predictive performance of ISLE is likely to further improve with the expected rapid accumulation of additional patient data. Citation Format: Joo Sang Lee, Avinash Das, Livnat Jerby-Arnon, Seung Gu Park, Matthew Davidson, Dikla Atias, Arnaud Amzallag, Chani Stossel, Ella Buzhor, Welles Robinson, Kuoyuan Cheng, Joshua J. Waterfall, Paul S. Meltzer, Sridhar Hannenhalli, Cyril H. Benes, Talia Golan, Emma Shanks, Eytan Ruppin. Harnessing synthetic lethality to predict clinical outcomes of cancer treatment [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2017; 2017 Apr 1-5; Washington, DC. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2017;77(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 543. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2017-543