Resection vs. ablation for alpha-fetoprotein positive hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria: a propensity score analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS The lack of histopathological confirmation of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diagnosis for patients receiving ablation may result in misdiagnosis of benign liver nodule as HCC occasionally, contributing to false treatment efficacy. This underestimated issue is one reason why the ablation efficacy remains undetermined compared with hepatic resection. Our aim is to compare the efficacy of ablation and resection for HCC within the Milan criteria after excluding the impact of misdiagnosis. METHODS Alpha-fetoprotein > 200 ng/ml was introduced as an inclusion criterion to improve diagnosis accuracy. A total of 435 (resection, 310; ablation, 125) HCC patients within the Milan criteria and without portal hypertension were enrolled. Propensity score matching analysis identified 259 (resection, 150; ablation, 109) patients to compare treatment efficacy. RESULTS Before matching, the survival of resection group were superior to ablation group with 5-year overall survival (OS) rate of 77.6% vs. 53.8% (P < 0.001), respectively, and 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate of 57.2% vs. 29.1% (P < 0.001) respectively. After matching, the baseline was well-balanced between the two groups. The 5-year OS rates were 71.5% vs. 51.3% (P < 0.001), and 5-year RFS rates were 56.1% vs. 25.6% (P < 0.001) for the resection and ablation groups respectively. Cox regression analysis identified ablation as an independent predictor for mortality and tumour recurrence (HR: 2.123 and 2.308, respectively; both P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS Hepatic resection provides better OS and RFS than ablation for alpha-fetoprotein positive HCC patients within the Milan criteria and without portal hypertension.