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Technological development and protest waves: Arab spring as a trigger of the global phase transition?
- Source :
- Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 116:316-321
- Publication Year :
- 2017
- Publisher :
- Elsevier BV, 2017.
-
Abstract
- There are grounds to conclude that in 2011–2012 the World System experienced to some extent a phase transition to a qualitatively new state of global protest activity. This phase transition is shown to bear some resemblance to the one which the World System experienced in the early 1960s. The first (after 1919) phase transition of this sort occurred in the early 1960s and was related to the growth of global informational connectivity after World War II, as well as the improvement of the means of protest self-organization due to the spread of television, portable radio receivers, portable electric loud-speakers and other technologies of the Fourth Kondratieff Cycle. The phase transition of the early 2010s was prepared by a new wave of growth of global informational connectivity, as well as the improvement of the means of protest self-organization due to the spread of various technologies of the Fifth Kondratieff cycle (the Internet, satellite television, Twitter and other social networks, mobile telephony etc.). Similarly to what was observed during the Fourth Kondratieff Wave, during the Fifth Cycle while the spread of these technologies was going on for many years before 2011, their internal colossal potential for generating and spreading protest activity was realized in one leap, as a phase transition.
- Subjects :
- Phase transition
Economic growth
business.industry
05 social sciences
Radio receiver
Satellite television
0506 political science
law.invention
World-system
law
Management of Technology and Innovation
0502 economics and business
050602 political science & public administration
Kondratiev wave
The Internet
Sociology
Mobile telephony
Business and International Management
business
Telecommunications
050203 business & management
Applied Psychology
Subjects
Details
- ISSN :
- 00401625
- Volume :
- 116
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Technological Forecasting and Social Change
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi...........bb8d004e6332ea3104c4278dc11b50b7