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Threshold dynamics of a bat-borne rabies model with periodic incubation periods

Authors :
Feng-Bin Wang
Ruiwen Wu
Xiao Yu
Source :
Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications. 61:103340
Publication Year :
2021
Publisher :
Elsevier BV, 2021.

Abstract

Bat-borne rabies is a viral infection caused by lyssaviruses. To explore the complex interaction between bats and cattle, we develop a periodic compartment system with seasonality, temperature-dependent incubation period and different control measures. We derive the basic reproduction number R 0 and show it determines the global dynamics. In particular, we prove the non-existence of positive periodic solutions in the critical case where R 0 = 1 . Numerically, we observe that sufficient long time-varying incubation periods could potentially increase the disease outbreak risk.

Details

ISSN :
14681218
Volume :
61
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications
Accession number :
edsair.doi...........b2648870ecb8b2fa08e96da386e96ac6
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nonrwa.2021.103340