Modeling grain yield and grain yield response to nitrogen in spring wheat crops in the Argentinean Southern Pampa

Agronomic efficiency (kg grain yield kg−1 N applied) is conditioned by environmental factors and nitrogen availability during the growing period. Hence, a fertilization model that considers environmental factors affecting wheat crop growth and effective N supply should be based on crop N demand. In this work, a simple model based on N balance during the growing season is used as the frame to simulate both the demand and the availability of N, and to determine grain yield. Fertilization experiments were conducted under different environments (50 sites, 8 y) of the Southern Pampa of Argentina. Nitrogen fertilization rates ranged between 25 and 125 kg N ha−1. Soil initial conditions and water balance during the crop cycle were found to modify both N demand and soil N supply. The amount of N taken up by crops, water balance during the crop growth period and mean maximum temperature during grain filling, all affected grain yield components. The proposed model provided a good agreement between observed independent data sets and simulated values of grain yield (root mean square error = 9% of the mean value). Model operation was performed for one site within the region using climatic records to estimate annual grain yield variability under three levels of N availability.