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Sequential decision-making with group identity

Authors :
Jessica Van Parys
Elliott Ash
Source :
Journal of Economic Psychology. 69:1-18
Publication Year :
2018
Publisher :
Elsevier BV, 2018.

Abstract

In sequential decision-making experiments, participants often conform to the decisions of others rather than reveal private information – resulting in less information produced and potentially lower payoffs for the group. This paper asks whether experimentally induced group identity affects players’ decisions to conform, even when payoffs are only a function of individual actions. As motivation for the experiment, we show that U.S. Supreme Court Justices in preliminary hearings are more likely to conform to their same-party predecessors when the share of predecessors from their party is high. Lab players, in turn, are more likely to conform to the decisions of in-group members when their share of in-group predecessors is high. We find that exposure to information from in-group members increases the probability of reverse information cascades (herding on the wrong choice), reducing average payoffs. Therefore, alternating decision-making across members of different groups may improve welfare in sequential decision-making contexts.

Details

ISSN :
01674870
Volume :
69
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Journal of Economic Psychology
Accession number :
edsair.doi...........9aad7c0181d60b429857e2c79ea3f548