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Six Temperature Proxies of Scots Pine from the Interior of Northern Fennoscandia Combined in Three Frequency Ranges

Authors :
Maxim Ogurtsov
Risto Jalkanen
Tarmo Aalto
Markus Lindholm
Björn E. Gunnarson
Source :
Journal of Climatology. 2014:1-13
Publication Year :
2014
Publisher :
Hindawi Limited, 2014.

Abstract

Six chronologies based on the growth of Scots pine from the inland of northern Fennoscandia were built to separately enhance low, medium, and higher frequencies in growth variability in 1000–2002. Several periodicities of growth were found in common in these data. Five of the low-frequency series have a significant oscillatory mode at 200–250 years of cycle length. Most series also have strong multidecadal scale variability and significant peaks at 33, 67, or 83–125 years. Reconstruction models for mean July and June–August as well as three longer period temperatures were built and compared using stringent verification statistics. We describe main differences in model performance (R2 = 0.53–0.62) between individual proxies as well as their various averages depending on provenance and proxy type, length of target period, and frequency range. A separate medium-frequency chronology (a proxy for June–August temperatures) is presented, which is closely similar in amplitude and duration to the last two cycles of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). The good synchrony between these two series is only hampered by a 10-year difference in timing. Recognizing a strong medium-frequency component in Fennoscandian climate proxies helps to explain part of the uncertainties in their 20th century trends.

Details

ISSN :
23146214 and 23566361
Volume :
2014
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Journal of Climatology
Accession number :
edsair.doi...........836149f8a6b1c16f220c626909e7f52c
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1155/2014/578761