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Drivers of Decline in Diarrhea Mortality Between GEMS and VIDA Studies
- Source :
- Clinical Infectious Diseases. 76:S58-S65
- Publication Year :
- 2023
- Publisher :
- Oxford University Press (OUP), 2023.
-
Abstract
- Background Statistical modeling suggests that decreasing diarrhea-associated mortality rates in recent decades are largely attributed to improved case management, rotavirus vaccine, and economic development. Methods We examined data collected in 2 multisite population-based diarrhea case-control studies, both conducted in The Gambia, Kenya, and Mali: the Global Enteric Multicenter Study (GEMS; 2008–2011) and Vaccine Impact on Diarrhea in Africa (VIDA; 2015–2018). Population-level diarrhea mortality and risk factor prevalence, estimated using these study data, were used to calculate the attribution of risk factors and interventions for diarrhea mortality using a counterfactual framework. We performed a decomposition of the effects of the changes in exposure to each risk factor between GEMS and VIDA on diarrhea mortality for each site. Results Diarrhea mortality among children under 5 in our African sites decreased by 65.3% (95% confidence interval [CI]: –80.0%, −45.0%) from GEMS to VIDA. Kenya and Mali had large relative declines in diarrhea mortality between the 2 periods with 85.9% (95% CI: −95.1%, −71.5%) and 78.0% (95% CI: −96.0%, 36.3%) reductions, respectively. Among the risk factors considered, the largest declines in diarrhea mortality between the 2 study periods were attributed to reduction in childhood wasting (27.2%; 95% CI: −39.3%, −16.8%) and an increased rotavirus vaccine coverage (23.1%; 95% CI: −28.4%, −19.4%), zinc for diarrhea treatment (12.1%; 95% CI: −16.0%, −8.9%), and oral rehydration salts (ORS) for diarrhea treatment (10.2%). Conclusions The VIDA study sites demonstrated exceptional reduction in diarrhea mortality over the last decade. Site-specific differences highlight an opportunity for implementation science in collaboration with policymakers to improve the equitable coverage of these interventions globally.
- Subjects :
- Microbiology (medical)
Infectious Diseases
Subjects
Details
- ISSN :
- 15376591 and 10584838
- Volume :
- 76
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Clinical Infectious Diseases
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi...........8003c92dee41e6b26176818966b95196