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Comparison between 2 futility scores in comatosed survivors of out of hospital cardiac arrest in a large tertiary centre in the United Kingdom: MIRACLE2 vs NULL-PLEASE

Authors :
A Elamin
H Ahmad
E Muhammed
S Anwar
G Lipp
C Appleby
Source :
European Heart Journal. 43
Publication Year :
2022
Publisher :
Oxford University Press (OUP), 2022.

Abstract

Background The management of patients presenting with an out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is resource intensive, and mortality remains very high. Several scoring systems have been developed to predict mortality and adverse neurological outcomes, and thus aid decision making for patients arriving to heart attack centres. Two of the most commonly used scoring systems are NULL-PLEASE (1) and MIRACLE2 (2). Purpose The MIRCALE2 score predicts poor neurological outcome at 6 months, as measured by Cerebral Performance Category (CPC). The NULL-PLEASE score predicts in-hospital morality. We aimed to compare both scores in predicting their primary end-points in a large tertiary centre in the UK. Method and results This was a retrospective analysis of 435 patient who were admitted with OHCA via the primary PCI pathway to a large tertiary cardiac centre between January 2016 and September 2020. Only comatosed OHCA survivors requiring pre-hospital ventilatory support were included. 319 patients were eligible 238 patients had complete set of data and were included in the final analysis. The association of the primary outcome was examined using logistic regression analysis. The predictive ability of the scores for the primary endpoint was tested using AUC analysis. In-hospital mortality was 45% (108 patients), with 53% having good neurological outcome at 6 months (CPC 3 had 74% sensitivity to predict in hospital mortality. Conclusion To our knowledge, this is the first study to compare the MIRCLE2 and NULL-PLEASE scoring systems. Both scores did not perform as expected in our large retrospective analysis. The NULL-PLEASE was more sensitive in predicting in-hospital mortality, although MIRACLE 2 score was easier to use as it had less variables to collect. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.

Details

ISSN :
15229645 and 0195668X
Volume :
43
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
European Heart Journal
Accession number :
edsair.doi...........77891c935e79c74aeea71d4f34d2362a
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehac544.1322