ESTIMATION OF AVERAGED DYNAMIC STRESS DROPS OF INLAND EARTHQUAKES CAUSED BY LONG STRIKE-SLIP FAULTS AND ITS APPLICATION TO ASPERITY MODELS FOR PREDICTING STRONG GROUND MOTIONS

We proposed a new procedure for evaluating the parameters of the asperity models for predicting strong ground motions from inland earthquakes caused by long strike-slip faults. The evaluation formula of averaged dynamic stress drops obtained by Irie et al. (2010)1) for surface ruptured faults 15 to 100 km long was adopted in our procedure, because the evaluation formula of the averaged static stress drops for circular cracks, commonly adopted in existing procedures, could not be applied to surface ruptured faults or long faults. The dynamic stress drop averaged on the entire fault was estimated to be 34 bars from the data of the rupture areas and the seismic moments of actual earthquakes, and the dynamic stress drop on the asperity was estimated to be 122 bars from the data of the short-period levels and the seismic moments of actual earthquakes. These results led to the conclusions that the asperity areas were 23 % of the entire ruptured areas.