Back to Search Start Over

Prediction based on the Kennedy-O’Hagan calibration model: asymptotic consistency and other properties

Authors :
Rui Tuo
C. F. Jeff Wu
Source :
Statistica Sinica.
Publication Year :
2018
Publisher :
Statistica Sinica (Institute of Statistical Science), 2018.

Abstract

Kennedy and O'Hagan (2001) propose a model for calibrating some unknown parameters in a computer model and estimating the discrepancy between the computer output and physical response. This model is known to have certain identifiability issues. Tuo and Wu (2016) show that there are examples for which the Kennedy-O'Hagan method renders unreasonable results in calibration. In spite of its unstable performance in calibration, the Kennedy-O'Hagan approach has a more robust behavior in predicting the physical response. In this work, we present some theoretical analysis to show the consistency of predictor based on their calibration model in the context of radial basis functions.

Details

ISSN :
10170405
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Statistica Sinica
Accession number :
edsair.doi...........6f4c148edaa0437aef2bae2aa099ea26
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.5705/ss.202016.0209