Threat Triage

A significant minority of threateners stalk, approach, or become violent after threatening. Violence risk and threat assessment have traditionally relied on evaluating the threatener’s behavior, disposition, and membership in violent groups. However, the identity of the threatener is often unknown, and the assessor must make an initial evaluation using only the language in the threat. By combining predictive factors and their ratios to one another, our predictive model can assess linguistic characteristics of the threat without any information about the threatener, the target, or the relationship between the two. This model assesses predatory thinking, which has a strong relationship with eventual action. The language in both single threat cases and the first threats in cases with multiple threats can be used to promptly assess the likelihood that a threatener will act, enabling assessors to effectively manage cases and mitigate harm.