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Modelling dynamic effects of multi-scale institutions on land use change
- Source :
- Regional Environmental Change. 19:733-746
- Publication Year :
- 2018
- Publisher :
- Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2018.
-
Abstract
- Formal institutions impact on the dynamics of land use change through their objectives, actions and decision-making processes in response to socio-economic or environmental changes such as climate change. The effects and interplay of these actions are not fully understood, and hence, institutional processes are rarely integrated in modelling analyses of land use change. The complex effects of institutional interactions within land systems can be better understood through modelling approaches that address the heterogeneity of the institutional actors involved and how their decisions affect temporal and spatial dynamics. In this paper, we present an agent-based model of autonomous land managers interacting with institutional agents at two spatial scales. We explore different parameters of institutional intervention (subsidy rate, triggers for action, delay in monitoring, scale-based precedence) under socio-economic drivers and analyse key metrics such as the maximum over- and undersupply of ecosystem services, connectivity of land uses, and degree of change in land use patterns. Levels of subsidy and action triggers have the greatest impact on the magnitude of land use change and the maximum oversupply of ecosystem services. In terms of achieving institutional objectives, subsidy rate is the most important single parameter in the model. Furthermore, we find non-linearity with variations in parameters that have important implications for current land use change modelling and requirements for empirical studies of land use planning institutions. Finally, the effects of high-end climate change may require entirely novel institutional behaviours.
- Subjects :
- Global and Planetary Change
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences
Land use
Climate change
Subsidy
Land-use planning
15. Life on land
010501 environmental sciences
Environmental economics
01 natural sciences
Ecosystem services
Empirical research
13. Climate action
Scale (social sciences)
11. Sustainability
Land use, land-use change and forestry
Business
0105 earth and related environmental sciences
Subjects
Details
- ISSN :
- 1436378X and 14363798
- Volume :
- 19
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Regional Environmental Change
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi...........3fa005d72d7882cedf49f80ae169eec1