Determinants, time trends and dynamic consequences of postoperative hyperglycemia in nondiabetic patients undergoing major elective abdominal surgery

Summary Background & aims In retrospective studies an indisputable causal relationship between hyperglycemia and postoperative infections cannot be entirely disclaimed. We aimed investigate whether the time trends of blood glucose levels in the perioperative period could be a determinant of surgery-related infections. Methods Adult patients without diabetes who were candidates for elective major abdominal operation were prospectively enrolled in a longitudinal, observational multicenter study. The blood glucose level was measured every 6 h for 3 days. We calculated the association between blood glucose (BG) levels and the risk of occurrence of surgery-related infections using a joint regression modeling for longitudinal and time-to-event outcomes which accounts for the effect of other risk factors. Results Between January 2016 and November 2017, we obtained 6078 BG measures distributed on different time-points in 452 patients. There was a nearly 3-fold increased risk of having hyperglycemia, defined as BG ≥ 125 mg/dL, if the BG level at admission was >100 mg/dL (OR = 2.986, P Conclusions The time trends of BG – as opposed to the absolute concentration –are major determinants of the risk of postoperative infections.