Back to Search Start Over

SEIRS epidemic model with Caputo–Fabrizio fractional derivative and time delay: dynamical analysis and simulation

Authors :
Waheed K. Zahra
M. M. Hikal
Hamed Hemeda
T. E. M. Atteya
Source :
Ricerche di Matematica.
Publication Year :
2021
Publisher :
Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2021.

Abstract

SEIRS epidemic model with Caputo–Fabrizio fractional derivative, a general incidence rate, and the time delay is considered. The main target of this work is to analyze the stability behavior and develop a numerical simulation of the fractional SEIRS model. The reproduction number $${R}_{0}$$ and the order of the fractional derivative $$\beta $$ play an important role in controlling the stability of the equilibrium points of the model, where it was shown that the disease-free equilibrium point $${P}_{0}$$ is asymptotically stable if $${R}_{0}1$$ . The proper choice of the system parameters alongside the order of differentiation guarantee that the epidemic equilibrium point $${P}_{1}$$ is asymptotically stable. The presence of a time delay in treatment and its effect on the stability behavior of the model is considered. Also, bifurcation analysis of the model depending on the time delay, $$ \beta $$ and the treatment rate is discussed. Numerical simulations based on a three-step Adams–Bashforth predictor technique for supporting and validating the theoretical results have been illustrated.

Details

ISSN :
18273491 and 00355038
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Ricerche di Matematica
Accession number :
edsair.doi...........33ad854bf25f46c193bfa19e353d3e8b
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11587-021-00643-8