Modeling meteoroid densities for spacecraft risk assessment

This report describes the methodologies and algorithms that NASA’s Meteoroid Environment Office (MEO) currently utilizes to measure meteoroid densities. We discuss the needs for an accurate model for the meteoroid density distribution in its Meteoroid Engineering Model (MEM), and its potential implications for spacecraft design. The recently developed process is heavily derived from that of previous work [4], although subtle differences exist. A thorough comparison of the best-fit densities derived for sixty meteoroids in [4] and with the process described here shows that discrepancies in final densities larger than a factor of two are measured for ~ 20% of our test events. Such a level of discrepancy suggests that any density calculated using similar methods cannot be assumed to represent a unique fit to the data. Additional observational data for meteoroids beyond those utilized in this work will be essential for producing more reliable and repeatable density measurements.