Hydrocarbon generation and expulsion characteristics of the source rocks in the third member of the Upper Triassic Xujiahe Formation and its effect on conventional and unconventional hydrocarbon resource potential in the Sichuan Basin

The third member of the Upper Triassic Xujiahe Formation (T3x3) is a typical source-reservoir-cap unit for natural gas exploration in the Sichuan Basin. However, most previous studies mainly focused on the T3x3 as a source rock, ignoring its role as a reservoir. As a result, the evaluation of hydrocarbon resource potential was not accurate. This study established a hydrocarbon generation and expulsion model through analyzing the geological and geochemical characteristics of the T3x3 source rocks, and calculated the resource potential of conventional gas, tight gas and shale gas systematically with combining the lower boundary of buoyancy-dominated accumulation (LBBA). The results indicated that the thickness of the source rocks dominated by mudstone was distributed widely, with an average value of more than 45 m. The sedimentary environment was salty lacustrine deposits. They have a high content of total organic carbon (TOC) with an average value of 4.80 wt%, the kerogen is mainly type III with minor type II, and the thermal evolution has entered the high to over mature stage. The hydrocarbon generation threshold was determined to be 0.5%Ro, while the hydrocarbon expulsion threshold and the LBBA were determined to be 0.83%Ro and 1.12%Ro, respectively. The efficiency of hydrocarbon expulsion was relatively high, with an average of about 56%. Also, the maximum hydrocarbon generation and expulsion intensity reached to 110 × 108 m3/km2 and 53 × 108 m3/km2. The amounts of hydrocarbon generation, expulsion and residual associated with the T3x3 source rocks were 125.68 × 1012m3, 70.38 × 1012m3, and 55.30 × 1012m3, respectively. Under the criterion condition of the LBBA, the conventional gas resource was 7.21 × 1010m3, the tight gas resource was 294.34 × 1010m3, and the shale gas resource was 2488.50 × 1010m3. It indicated good prospects for exploration.