3D geological modeling of the blind thrust system activated during the November 2022 Pesaro offshore seismic sequence (Adriatic sea, Italy)

The undersea portion of the Northern Apennines is characterized by blind thrust faults running parallel to the Adriatic Sea coastline in northeastern peninsular Italy. These thrusts are buried below a thick cover of syntectonic Quaternary deposits. Their elusive geological signature at shallow depths and the low seismicity associated with them gave rise to diverging interpretations and views concerning the current activity of these thrusts and their earthquake potential.On 9 November 2022, a seismic sequence started with an Mw 5.5 earthquake in the Pesaro Offshore. Hypocentral depth, focal mechanism, and aftershocks location all suggest that the earthquake was generated by one of the outermost thrusts of the Northern Apennines front that was already mapped as a potential seismogenic source in the DISS database (https://diss.ingv.it/diss330/sources.php?ITCS106).We present a 3D reconstruction of the thrust system that caused the Pesaro Offshore seismic sequence obtained through the reinterpretation of publicly available seismic reflection profiles and well logs. The 3D geometry and size of the thrust activated during the seismic sequence suggest that it can also host larger earthquakes. We also present the application of a well-established workflow for calculating the slip rates of this buried thrust already tested in nearby structures. The outcomes of this study represent a step forward for earthquake and tsunami hazard models, the study of the seismic source, the enhancement of earthquake location by mix and match of seismological and geological independent data, and the expected kinematics of future potential earthquake ruptures.These results are particularly relevant in offshore areas, where neither surface co-seismic ruptures nor GPS/InSAR deformation data are available in the aftermath of a significant earthquake. In these cases, multichannel seismic reflection profiles represent the only tool to appraise the subsurface structural setting.