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Solar cycle characteristics and their application in the prediction of cycle 25
- Source :
- Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics. 181:110-115
- Publication Year :
- 2018
- Publisher :
- Elsevier BV, 2018.
-
Abstract
- The Solar Influences Data Analysis Center (SIDC) issued a new version (version 2) of the sunspot number data in July 2015. The 13-month smoothed monthly sunspot number from the new version is used for the first time to research the relations among the feature parameters of solar cycles under the bimodal distribution for the modern era cycles (10–23), and, their physical implications are discussed. These relations are utilized to predict the maximum amplitude of solar cycle 25. Cycle 25 is predicted to start in October 2020 and reach its maximum amplitude of 168.5 ± 16.3 in October 2024, thus, it should be stronger than cycle 24 but weaker than cycle 23.
- Subjects :
- Atmospheric Science
Sunspot
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences
Sunspot number
Meteorology
01 natural sciences
Solar cycle
Methods statistical
Geophysics
Space and Planetary Science
0103 physical sciences
010303 astronomy & astrophysics
Maximum amplitude
0105 earth and related environmental sciences
Analysis center
Mathematics
Subjects
Details
- ISSN :
- 13646826
- Volume :
- 181
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi...........0ec0db193590d66bf427e9042342b221