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Implementation of the ARIMA(p,d,q) method to forecasting CPI Data using forecast package in R Software

Authors :
Nuning Kurniasih
Tri Listyorini
Castaka Agus Sugianto
Ansari Saleh Ahmar
Robbi Rahim
Yuniningsih Yuniningsih
Achmad Daengs Gs
Source :
Journal of Physics: Conference Series. 1028:012189
Publication Year :
2018
Publisher :
IOP Publishing, 2018.

Abstract

The Consumer Price Index is an index which calculates the average change in prices over a period, of a set of goods and services consumed by the population/households within a specific time. In this paper will be discussed about the forecasting of consumer price index of Indonesia using forecast package with R Software. The forecasting process this data using algorithms popularized by Rob J. Hyndman and Yeasmin Khandakar in 2008. By using this method, it is obtained a suitable ARIMA model to forecast CPI data Indonesia. The model most suitable time series is ARIMA (1,0,0).

Details

ISSN :
17426596 and 17426588
Volume :
1028
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Journal of Physics: Conference Series
Accession number :
edsair.doi...........0175adfbc429f8e755f8f202bd648ac5