Sammenligning af IEA-landenes prognosefejl vedrørende bruttoenergiforbrug, olieforbrug og energiforbrug i sektorer

Forecast errors in energy consumption are compared for IEA-countries in 1985, 1990 and 1995. Countries having small/big forecast errors in 1985 do not have small/big forecast errors in 1990 and 1995. Almost no significant correlation coefficient is found between forecast errors in the 3 years. Correspondingly, no significant correlation coefficient is found between forecast errors in the 3 main sectors. Therefore, a relatively small forecast error is not caused by a relatively small forecast error in all 3 sectors.