Linking dynamic migration models to the real world; this report is a summary of the output of 'Dynashop 1997'

This report describes the results of an international workshop on putting dynamic models of migration to the test, which was partly financed by the National Research Programme on Global Air Pollution and Climate Change. Aim of the workshop was to investigate the applicability of dynamic models of migration to well-studied avian migration routes of some waders and geese. Dynamic migration models allow an advance prediction of the optimum route along which birds must migrate. The extent to which the model was able to predict the current migration is discussed for each of the selected species. In some cases it was possible to make the next step: predicting the effects of climate change on the optimal route and the consequences for the survival of the migratory birds.