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A protocol for the intercomparison of marine fishery and ecosystem models: Fish-MIP v1.0

Authors :
Tittensor, Derek P.
Eddy, Tyler D.
Lotze, Heike K.
Galbraith, Eric D.
Cheung, William
Barange, Manuel
Blanchard, Julia L.
Bopp, Laurent
Bryndum-Buchholz, Andrea
Büchner, Matthias
Bulman, Catherine
Carozza, David A.
Christensen, Villy
Coll, Marta
Dunne, John P.
Fernandes, Jose A.
Fulton, Elizabeth A.
Hobday, Alistair J.
Huber, Veronika
Jennings, Simon
Jones, Miranda
Lehodey, Patrick
Link, Jason S.
Mackinson, Steve
Maury, Olivier
Niiranen, Susa
Oliveros-Ramos, Ricardo
Roy, Tilla
Schewe, Jacob
Shin, Yunne-Jai
Silva, Tiago
Stock, Charles A.
Steenbeek, Jeroen
Underwood, Philip J.
Volkholz, Jan
Watson, James R.
Walker, Nicola D.
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] (LSCE)
Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)
Fisheries Centre
University of British Columbia (UBC)
Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD [Nouvelle-Calédonie])
CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research (CSIRO-MAR)
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation [Canberra] (CSIRO)
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Marine Ecosystems Modeling and Monitoring by Satellites (MEMMS)
CLS
MARine Biodiversity Exploitation and Conservation (UMR MARBEC)
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)
University of Cape Town
Instituto del Mar del Peru (IMARPE)
Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (PIK)
Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Department of Computer Science
Hong Kong Baptist University (HKBU)
GLOBEC IPO
Plymouth Marine Laboratory
Université Paris-Saclay-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia
Food Science
FFUP
Division of Ecosystem Sciences, The Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation
School of Geography
University of North London
Environnement et Grandes Cultures (EGC)
AgroParisTech-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)
UMR 212 EME 'écosystèmes marins exploités' (EME)
Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER)-Université de Montpellier (UM)
Chimie des Interactions Plasma-Surface (ChIPS) (ChIPS)
Université de Mons-Hainaut
Hong Kong Baptist University ( HKBU )
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] ( LSCE )
Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines ( UVSQ ) -Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives ( CEA ) -Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique ( CNRS )
University of British Columbia ( UBC )
Institut de Recherche pour le Développement ( IRD [Nouvelle-Calédonie] )
CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research ( CSIRO-MAR )
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation [Canberra] ( CSIRO )
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research ( PIK )
Marine Ecosystems Modeling and Monitoring by Satellites ( MEMMS )
Environnement et Grandes Cultures ( EGC )
AgroParisTech-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique ( INRA )
Instituto del Mar del Peru ( IMARPE )
Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung ( PIK )
UMR 212 EME 'écosystèmes marins exploités' ( EME )
Institut de Recherche pour le Développement ( IRD ) -Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer ( IFREMER ) -Université de Montpellier ( UM )
Chimie des Interactions Plasma-Surface (ChIPS) ( ChIPS )
Source :
Geoscientific Model Development, Geoscientific Model Development, European Geosciences Union, 2018, 11 (4), pp.1421-1442. ⟨10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018⟩, Geoscientific Model Development, 2018, 11 (4), pp.1421-1442. ⟨10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018⟩, Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, Copernicus Publ, 2018, 11 (4), pp.1421-1442. ⟨10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018⟩, Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, Copernicus Publ, 2018, 11 (4), pp.1421-1442. 〈10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018〉, Geoscientific Model Development (1991-959X) (Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh), 2018-04, Vol. 11, N. 4, P. 1421-1442
Publication Year :
2018
Publisher :
HAL CCSD, 2018.

Abstract

International audience; Model intercomparison studies in the climate and Earth sciences communities have been crucial to building credibility and coherence for future projections. They have quantified variability among models, spurred model development , contrasted within-and among-model uncertainty, assessed model fits to historical data, and provided ensemble projections of future change under specified scenarios. Given the speed and magnitude of anthropogenic change in the marine environment and the consequent effects on food security, biodiversity, marine industries, and society, the time is ripe for similar comparisons among models of fisheries and marine ecosystems. Here, we describe the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project protocol version 1.0 (Fish-MIP v1.0), part of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP), which is a cross-sectoral network of climate impact modellers. Given the complexity of the marine ecosystem, this class of models has substantial heterogeneity of purpose, scope, theoretical underpinning , processes considered, parameterizations, resolution (grain size), and spatial extent. This heterogeneity reflects the lack of a unified understanding of the marine ecosystem and implies that the assemblage of all models is more likely to include a greater number of relevant processes than any single model. The current Fish-MIP protocol is designed to allow these heterogeneous models to be forced with common Earth System Model (ESM) Coupled Model Intercompari-son Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) outputs under prescribed scenarios for historic (from the 1950s) and future (to 2100) time periods; it will be adapted to CMIP phase 6 (CMIP6) in future iterations. It also describes a standardized set of outputs for each participating Fish-MIP model to produce. This enables the broad characterization of differences between and uncertainties within models and projections when assessing climate and fisheries impacts on marine ecosystems and the services they provide. The systematic generation, collation, and comparison of results from Fish-MIP will inform an understanding of the range of plausible changes in marine ecosystems and improve our capacity to define and convey the strengths and weaknesses of model-based advice on future states of marine ecosystems and fisheries. Ultimately, Fish-MIP represents a step towards bringing together the marine ecosystem modelling community to produce consistent ensemble medium-and long-term projections of marine ecosystems.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
1991959X, 19919603, and 1991962X
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Geoscientific Model Development, Geoscientific Model Development, European Geosciences Union, 2018, 11 (4), pp.1421-1442. ⟨10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018⟩, Geoscientific Model Development, 2018, 11 (4), pp.1421-1442. ⟨10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018⟩, Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, Copernicus Publ, 2018, 11 (4), pp.1421-1442. ⟨10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018⟩, Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, Copernicus Publ, 2018, 11 (4), pp.1421-1442. 〈10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018〉, Geoscientific Model Development (1991-959X) (Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh), 2018-04, Vol. 11, N. 4, P. 1421-1442
Accession number :
edsair.dedup.wf.001..182293c3ed4e61634b93930e27fb31fb