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A note on the forward and the equity-premium puzzles: two symptoms of the same illness?
- Source :
- Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital), Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV), instacron:FGV
- Publication Year :
- 2013
- Publisher :
- Fundação Getulio Vargas. Escola de Pós-graduação em Economia, 2013.
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Abstract
- We build a stochastic discount factor—SDF— using information on US domestic financial data only, and provide evidence that it accounts for foreign markets stylized facts that escape SDF’s generated by consumption based models. By interpreting our SDF as the projection of the pricing kernel from a fully specified model in the space of returns, our results indicate that a model that accounts for the behavior of domestic assets goes a long way toward accounting for the behavior of foreign assets prices. In our tests, we address predictability, a defining feature of the Forward Premium Puzzle—FPP— by using instruments that are known to forecast excess returns in the moments restrictions associated with Euler equations both in the equity and the foreign markets.
- Subjects :
- Equity premium puzzle
Return-based pricing kernel
Forward premium puzzle
Economia
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital), Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV), instacron:FGV
- Accession number :
- edsair.dedup.wf.001..113d5f2147e916f51fd2e46281165cb3