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A note on the forward and the equity-premium puzzles: two symptoms of the same illness?

Authors :
Costa, Carlos Eugênio da
Issler, João Victor
Matos, Paulo Rogério Faustino
Escolas::EPGE
FGV
Source :
Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital), Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV), instacron:FGV
Publication Year :
2013
Publisher :
Fundação Getulio Vargas. Escola de Pós-graduação em Economia, 2013.

Abstract

We build a stochastic discount factor—SDF— using information on US domestic financial data only, and provide evidence that it accounts for foreign markets stylized facts that escape SDF’s generated by consumption based models. By interpreting our SDF as the projection of the pricing kernel from a fully specified model in the space of returns, our results indicate that a model that accounts for the behavior of domestic assets goes a long way toward accounting for the behavior of foreign assets prices. In our tests, we address predictability, a defining feature of the Forward Premium Puzzle—FPP— by using instruments that are known to forecast excess returns in the moments restrictions associated with Euler equations both in the equity and the foreign markets.

Details

Language :
English
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital), Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV), instacron:FGV
Accession number :
edsair.dedup.wf.001..113d5f2147e916f51fd2e46281165cb3