Dynamic transfer and driving mechanisms of the coupling and coordination of agricultural resilience and rural land use efficiency in China

The joint study of agriculture and rural areas is of great significance for safeguarding agricultural development, revitalizing rural areas, and enhancing farmers’ well-being. This paper aims to assess the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of the coupling and coordination degree of agricultural resilience and rural land use efficiency and their dynamic transfer law and driving mechanisms, based on panel data of 31 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) in China from 2010 to 2020. The results showed: (1) Good coupling and coordination of agricultural resilience and rural land use efficiency, with reduced temporal differentiation degrees between regions; (2) Significant spatial autocorrelation between the overall coupling and coordination degrees of agricultural resilience and rural land use efficiency, forming cold spot and hot spot spatial patterns in the western and eastern parts, respectively, with a central transition area; (3) A spillover effect of the dynamic transfer process, with a manifested specific law as “club convergence”, “Matthew effect”, and progressive development characteristics; (4) The key roles of the natural, social, economic, and policy indicators in the coupling and coordination development process of agricultural resilience and rural land use efficiency. However, the selected indicators showed substantial spatial differences in their influences on the coupling and coordination process between provinces.