Adaptability of cotton (Gossypium hirsutum) genotypes analysed using a Bayesian AMMI model

Cotton (Gossypium spp.) provides ~90% of the world’s textile fibre. The aim of this study was to use the principal additive effects and multiplicative interaction (AMMI) model under the Bayesian approach to recommend cotton genotypes for the Central-West region of Brazil. Eight trials with upland cotton genotypes were conducted during the 2008–09 harvest in the State of Mato Grosso, Brazil. The experiment included a randomised block design with 16 genotypes. The genotypes were evaluated for fibre yield, length and strength. Chains were simulated via the Markov chain Monte Carlo method with 300000 iterations for the parameters of the Bayesian AMMI model. From the chains generated, the first 20000 burn-in observations were discarded and samples were taken by jumping every 20 observations (thin). Bayesian analysis provided additional results to those obtained by the frequentist approach, highlighting the credibility regions in the biplot for the genotypic and environmental scores. Bayesian AMMI model allowed identification of a genotype that can be widely recommended; this genotype has genotypic values above the overall mean for the three evaluated traits and did not contribute to the genotype × environment interactions observed in these traits. In addition, adaptability of genotypes to specific environments was observed, which makes it possible to capitalise the positive effect of the genotype × environment interaction.