Daniel B. Fambro Student Paper Award: A Stochastic Delay Prediction Model for Real-Time Incident Management.

The article reports on a research paper about the stochastic delay prediction model for real-time incident management. The research paper won the 2007 Daniel B. Fambro Student Paper Award given by the Institute of Transportation Engineers. In the paper, the authors established that a failure to account for the uncertainty that exists in predicting incident severity systematically and consistently underrates the impact of incidents to a large enough degree that incorrect management decisions are made.