Preliminary Validation of the Risk Assessment Index and Multivariate Actuarial Prediction of Clients' Termination in the Douglas County, Nebraska, Day Reporting Center.

As a preliminary evaluation for the risk assessment, the present study assesses whether it has been working as intended (i.e., termination prediction). Additionally, it will identify offenders' criminogenic factors and need factors to develop the risk assessment of the Day Reporting Center in Douglas County. The risk assessment contextualized in Douglas County will contribute to clients rehabilitation and community protection, and finally crime reduction through these achievements. This paper calculated probabilities of an individual's termination based on the logit model which includes four significant variables. The present study reveals that levels of risk for the DRC's clients range from 24% low risk to 70% high risk. The four groups of the classification can be classified in descending level of risk: Felony-Undereducated Group (70%), Felony-Educated Group (51%), Misdemeanor-Undereducated Group (41%), and Misdemeanor-Educated Group (24%). Considering the difference of the probability of being terminated, while holding each variable (i.e., type of offense or GED/ABE variable) constant, the type of offense (i.e., felony and misdemeanor) plays a more critical role than the level of education in determining clients' termination from the DRC. ..PAT.-Unpublished Manuscript [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]