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Economic policy uncertainty, risk perception and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China.

Authors :
Liu, Xiaojun
Ma, Yong
Xu, Zhongyue
Source :
Economic Analysis & Policy; Jun2024, Vol. 82, p865-876, 12p
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

This paper investigates the moderating role of the macroeconomic environment in the crash risk-policy uncertainty sensitivity. We find that managers have lower risk perception and crash risk is less sensitive to policy uncertainty during periods of economic expansion. Managers' risk perception is the critical channel through which the macroeconomic environment affects the relationship between crash risk and policy uncertainty. Consequently, when firms' managers have an accurate understanding of the future economic environment, the moderating effect of economic growth is lower. This manifests in the weaker moderating effect of economic growth for SOEs and firms with stronger managerial ability, lower managerial ownership, and high media attention, which further supports the risk perception channel. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
03135926
Volume :
82
Database :
Supplemental Index
Journal :
Economic Analysis & Policy
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
177926468
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2024.04.013