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Time series online forecasting based on sequence decomposition learning networks.

Authors :
Ma, Yunpeng
Xu, Chenheng
Wang, Hua
Liu, Shengkai
Gu, Xiaoying
Source :
Applied Soft Computing; Nov2023, Vol. 148, pN.PAG-N.PAG, 1p
Publication Year :
2023

Abstract

Research on time series online modeling has received much attention in recent years. The existing advanced methods are often accompanied by the problem of low model established efficiency, so it is difficult to realize online modeling in practical applications. This paper proposed a sequence decomposition learning networks (SDLN) to solve time series online forecasting problems. In contrast to most time series forecasting methods, SDLN is a novel time series online forecasting method without capturing sliding time window features. The SDLN consists of five layers of neurons, namely, the input layer, decomposition layer, sparse layer, hidden layer, and output layer, where the additions of the decomposition layer and sparse layer enable a fast model calculation speed and do not require the capture of sliding time window features. In addition, it can establish time series forecasting models with better model accuracy and model stability in a very short model calculation time. To verify the effectiveness of SDLN, eight publicly available time series datasets are applied. Experimental results show that SDLN can obtain better model performance than other state-of-the-art methods, especially in terms of model computation speed. It can achieve a model accuracy of 10<superscript>-4</superscript> to 10<superscript>-2</superscript> and a model computation time of 10<superscript>-2</superscript> seconds for short- and medium-term forecasting on all eight datasets. Therefore, SDLN is an effective time series online modeling method. • For solving the problem of time series online forecasting, a kind of novel model that does not need to continuously capture specific time window features, call Sequence Decomposition Learning Networks (SDLN) is proposed in this paper. It is applied to eight publicly available time series datasets. The experimental results show that it not only has a forecasting accuracy of 10<superscript>-2</superscript> to 10<superscript>-4</superscript>, but also has a forecasting time of 10<superscript>-2</superscript>s. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Subjects

Subjects :
TIME series analysis
FORECASTING

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
15684946
Volume :
148
Database :
Supplemental Index
Journal :
Applied Soft Computing
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
173707294
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2023.110907