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Measuring impact of health crises on economies: A staggered synthetic control approach with bias-correction.

Authors :
Chen, Haojing
Bayram, Mehmet Emin
Lee, Changmin
Source :
Finance Research Letters; Dec2023:Part D, Vol. 58, pN.PAG-N.PAG, 1p
Publication Year :
2023

Abstract

• A notable gap exists between econometric research and pandemic studies. • The bias-corrected synthetic control method offers a reliable tool for economic assessments. • Health crises leave enduring economic imprints, influencing long-term trajectories. • Each health crisis reveals unique economic pathways and disruptions. The latest global pandemic demonstrated that the effects of the health crises can be quite considerable for the economies. Despite the negative effects, the understanding of the economic impacts of health crises is constrained due to the limited research in this area. Analyzing the dataset of past health crises and utilizing advanced causal inference method, bias-corrected synthetic control with staggered adoption, we find that health crises cause significant losses for the GDP of the affected countries, and the effects continue for the following years. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
15446123
Volume :
58
Database :
Supplemental Index
Journal :
Finance Research Letters
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
173701987
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2023.104599