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Perspective for China's carbon capture and storage under the Paris agreement climate pledges.
- Source :
- International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control; Sep2022, Vol. 119, pN.PAG-N.PAG, 1p
- Publication Year :
- 2022
-
Abstract
- • We construct a multi-model comparison framework by employing typical IAMs. • We examine how China will contribute to the global 1.5 °C climate target. • China could contribute nearly one-fifth of the global negative emissions by 2100. • The proportion of BECCS could dramatically increase to 29% under the 1.5 °C case. • Energy demand control may rely more on coordination between CCS and clean energy. Enhancing the warm-limiting targets to from below 2 °C to 1.5 °C is of great significance for climate change mitigation, during which the carbon capture and storage (CCS) of China is playing an important role. By framing a multi-model analysis to compare IAMs, this study aims to explore how China can contribute to the global 1.5 °C target, consistent with achieving its carbon neutrality goal. Our multi-model assessment shows that the enhanced targets will advance the reach time of China's carbon peak and neutrality. Under a relatively smooth emission path curve with CCS, China's carbon emissions will decrease sharply by the end of this century. It is estimated that China's negative carbon emissions will contribute nearly one-fifth of the global negative emissions in 2100, with its CCS-captured emissions accounting for 14%. In the energy system, fossil- and biomass-CCS will develop rapidly, with the proportion of biomass with CCS dramatically increasing to 29% and 17% under the 1.5 °C and 2 °C scenarios, respectively. There will be a relatively large gap between the capital and final use costs of CCS, which may weaken the technical advantage when competing with renewables during the life cycle. While the overall control of the energy consumption in the later period will rely more on the proportional adjustment and the coordination between biomass with CCS and clean energy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 17505836
- Volume :
- 119
- Database :
- Supplemental Index
- Journal :
- International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 158423292
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijggc.2022.103738