Epidemiology and detection of cement leakage in patients with spine metastases treated with percutaneous vertebroplasty: A 10-year observational study.

• Cement leak is common for percutaneous vertebroplasty in metastatic spinal disease. • A proposed and validated algorithm can screen patients with high cement leak risk. • The algorithm included four significant characteristics. • The validation group AUROC was 0.69, and the goodness-of-fit test P-value was 0.50. To investigate the epidemiology of cement leaks and further develop an algorithm to detect the high risk of cement leaks among advanced cancer patients with metastatic spinal disease treated with percutaneous vertebroplasty. This study retrospectively analyzed 309 patients with metastatic spinal disease treated with percutaneous vertebroplasty. Patients were randomly divided into a training group and a validation group. In the training group, 13 potential characteristics were analyzed for their abilities to predict cement leaks. Discal cement leakage and paravertebral cement leakage were excluded from the analysis. Those characteristics identified as having significant predictive value were used to develop a predictive algorithm. Internal validation of the algorithm was performed based on discrimination and calibration qualities. Overall, cement leaks occurred in 61.17% (189/309) patients. Among the 13 characteristics analyzed, younger age (P = 0.03), extravertebral bone metastases (P = 0.02), increased number of treated vertebrae levels (P < 0.01), and cortical osteolytic destruction in the posterior wall (P = 0.01) were included in the algorithm. This algorithm generates a score between 0 and 16 points, with higher scores indicating a higher risk of cement leakage. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) value for the algorithm was 0.75 in the training group and 0.69 in the validation group. The mean correct classification rates for the training and validation groups were 73.5% and 64.9%, respectively, and the corresponding P-values of the goodness-of-fit test were 0.70 and 0.50. Cement leaks are common in patients with metastatic spinal disease treated with percutaneous vertebroplasty. The present study proposed and internally validated an algorithm that can be used to screen patients at high risk of cement leakage. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]