COMPOSITE PROGNOSTICATION MODEL OF EMERGENCIES AT THE HAZARDOUS INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISES.

A complex of prognostication models focused on its implementation in the control systems of hazardous industrial enterprises. Methods of prognostication of the emergencies on the basis of thermodynamic, linguistic and neural network concepts are considered. The results of the comparative analysis of these emergencies prognostication models are given for the extreme technological processes. Recommendations are given on the composite implementation of these models in the industrial systems of accident-free management. The composite model of prognostication and integrated criterion of accident-free management is offered as a functionality which represents the superposition of indicators of each model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]