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Comparing Projection Assumptions of Fertility in Six Advanced Asian Economies; or ‘Thinking Beyond the Medium Variant’.
- Source :
- Asian Population Studies; Nov2013, Vol. 9 Issue 3, p322-331, 10p
- Publication Year :
- 2013
-
Abstract
- The United Nations' (UN) World Population Prospects are perhaps the most widely used population projections in both academic and policy discourses. In this short research note, we examine six advanced Asian economies, and compare the fertility assumptions used by the UN with those derived from local statistical offices (LSOs). We identify a significant divergence between them. When translated into total projected population size of younger age groups (0–14 years), the use of the UN rather than the LSO ‘medium’ projection can increase the total projected population size by up to 50% by 2040. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]
- Subjects :
- AGE distribution
POPULATION
POPULATION forecasting
FERTILITY
DEMOGRAPHY
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 17441730
- Volume :
- 9
- Issue :
- 3
- Database :
- Complementary Index
- Journal :
- Asian Population Studies
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 92038970
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1080/17441730.2013.836394