Multiyear precipitation reduction strongly decrease carbon uptake over North China.

Drought has been a concern of global and regional water, carbon and energy cycles. From 1999 to 2011, North China experienced a multiyear precipitation reduction, which decreased significantly water availability as indicated by decreased soil moisture and Palmer Drought Severity Index. In this study, three light use efficiency models (CASA, MODIS-GPP and EC-LUE) and one dynamic vegetation model (IBIS) were used to characterize the impacts of long-term drought on terrestrial carbon fluxes over the North China. All of four models showed the reduction in averaged GPP of 0.026-0.047 Pg C yr^-1 from 1999 to 2011 compared to 1982-2011. Based on IBIS model, simulated ecosystem respiration fell from 1999 to 2011 by 0.016 Pg C yr^-1. Multiple precipitation reduction changed the regional carbon uptake of 0.0014 Pg C yr^-1 from 1982 to 1998 to a net source of 0.018 Pg C yr^-1. Moreover, a pronounced decrease of maize yield was found ranging from 1999 to 2011 versus the average of 1978-2011 at almost all provinces over the study region. The largest reduction of maize yield occurred in the Beijing (2499 kg ha^-1 yr^-1), Jilin (2180 kg ha^-1 yr^-1), Tianjing (1923 kg ha^-1 yr^-1) and Heilongjiang (1791 kg ha^-1 yr^-1), and maize yield anomaly was significantly correlated with the precipitation through May and September over the entire study area. Our results revealed that recent climate change, and especially drought-induced water stress, is the dominant cause of the reduction in the terrestrial carbon sink. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]